The 2006 Tony Awards

It's Tony Awards season here in New York City, and I'm finding it harder than usual to predict the winners this year. There are a lot of close calls and a few dark horses among the nominees.

Noticably absent from the nominations list are the box office-busting film and television stars who brought the spotlight and the adoring audiences to the
Great White Way this season. Pretty Woman Julia Roberts made her stage debut April 19th in Richard Greenberg's Three Days of Rain to grudgingly lukewarm reviews from devoted fans of her film career. Next door, at the Gerald Schoenfeld Theatre, erstwhile Friends star David Schwimmer took on the role of Lt. Barney Greenwald in Herman Wouk's monotonous The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial. The play was so poorly received that it closed after only 17 regular performances.

Even musical theatre wasn't exempt from the negative criticism, as former American Idol finalist Josh Strickland disappointed audiences and critics alike with his interpretation of the titular role in Disney's frenetically aerial production of Tarzan.

The shows and artists that have been recognized this year are an intriguing mix of some Broadway legends (Patti LuPone), some well-established stage veterans(Zeljko Ivanek), and some fresh new faces(John Lloyd Young). It will be exciting to watch which among these walk away with awards on June 11th.

I've got a few hunches about how things will shake out at Radio City, but I'm only 80% sure about my predictions this time around.

With the aforementioned caveat and without further ado, M.H. Archer's 2006 Tony Awards predictions:

Choreography
Kathleen Marshall, The Pajama Game

Orchestrations
Sarah Travis, Sweeney Todd

Book of a Musical
Bob Martin and Don McKellar, The Drowsy Chaperone

Score
Russell, Willis and Bray, The Color Purple

Scenic Design (Play)
Santo Loquasto, Three Days of Rain

Scenic Design (Musical)
David Gallo, The Drowsy Chaperone

Costume Design (Play)
Santo Loquasto, A Touch of the Poet

Costume Design (Musical)
Susan Hilferty, Lestat

Lighting Design (Play)
Mark Henderson, The History Boys

Lighting Design (Musical)
Howell Binkley, Jersey Boys

Direction (Play)
Daniel Sullivan, Rabbit Hole

Direction (Musical)
John Doyle, Sweeney Todd

Featured Actor (Play)
Mark Ruffalo, Awake and Sing!

Featured Actress (Play)
Tyne Daly, Rabbit Hole

Featured Actor (Musical)
Christian Hoff, Jersey Boys

Featured Actress (Musical)
Beth Leavel, The Drowsy Chaperone

Actor (Play)
Ralph Fiennes, Faith Healer

Actress (Play)
Judy Kaye, Souvenir

Actor (Musical)
Harry Connick, Jr., The Pajama Game

Actress (Musical)
LaChanze, The Color Purple

Play Revival
Faith Healer

Musical Revival
The Pajama Game

Play
Shining City by Conor McPherson

Musical
Jersey Boys